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001-es BibID:BIBFORM096983
035-os BibID:(cikkazonosító)105682 (WoS)000702845500005 (Scopus)85112194091
Első szerző:Dombi Mihály (vidékfejlesztési agrármérnök)
Cím:Types of planning systems and effects on construction material volumes: An explanatory analysis in Europe / Dombi, Mihály
Dátum:2021
ISSN:0264-8377
Megjegyzések:The management of material stock is central for reducing emissions and for optimizing natural resource use. Construction materials are particularly the key because of their role in emission, resource use, and waste management concerns. However, the role of governance and spatial planning in the management of construction minerals is unclear. Based on a panel dataset of 35 European countries for 1995-2017, this study assesses the effect of governance and spatial planning factors, as well as of core socio-economic indicators (namely, GDP per capita, urbanization, and economic structure) at the national level According to the results, the types of spatial governance and planning systems significantly shape the effects on construction material use. Such effects range from - 67-215% relative to the most widespread system, i.e., the conformative system. Economic structure and urbanization have a positive feedback effect on the accumulation process at any level of development. In addition, the ability to resist excess material accumulation encoded by urbanization and economic transition is determined by spatial governance and planning systems. Additionally, a specific planning culture employing a moderate amount of construction material compared to other spatial governance and planning systems, i.e., the neo-performative system, is identified as a promising means to reduce significantly resource demand both in market- and state-led planning contexts.
Tárgyszavak:Társadalomtudományok Közgazdaságtudományok idegen nyelvű folyóiratközlemény külföldi lapban
folyóiratcikk
anyagállomáyok
területi tervezés
Megjelenés:Land Use Policy. - 109 : 109 (2021), p. 1-9. -
Pályázati támogatás:K-135907
OTKA
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DOI
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2.

001-es BibID:BIBFORM113382
035-os BibID:(Cikkazonosító)744 (WOS)000979046700001 (Scopus)85156117190
Első szerző:Zhu, Kai
Cím:Multiscenario Simulation of Land-Use Change in Hubei Province, China Based on the Markov-FLUS Model / Kai Zhu, Yufeng Cheng, Weiye Zang, Quan Zhou, Youssef El Archi, Hossein Mousazadeh, Moaaz Kabil, Katalin Csobán, Lóránt Dénes Dávid
Dátum:2023
ISSN:2073-445X
Megjegyzések:A goal of land change modelers should be to communicate scenarios of future change that show the variety of possible future landscapes based on the consequences of management decisions. This study employs the Markov-FLUS model to simulate land-use changes in Hubei Province in multiple scenarios that consider social, economic, and ecological policies using 18 driving factors, including point-of-interest data. First, the Markov-FLUS model was developed and validated with historical data from 2000 to 2020. The model was then used to simulate land-use changes from 2020 to 2035 in four scenarios: natural development, economic priority, ecological protection, and cultivated land protection. The results show that the Markov-FLUS model effectively simulates the land-use change pattern in Hubei Province, with an overall accuracy of 0.93 for land use simulation in 2020. The Kappa coefficient and FOM index also achieved 0.86 and 0.139, respectively. In all four scenarios, cultivated land remained the primary land use type in Hubei Province from 2020 to 2035, while construction land showed an increasing trend. However, there were large differences in the simulated land use patterns in different scenarios. Construction land expanded most rapidly in the economic priority scenario, while it expanded more slowly in the cultivated land protection scenario. We designed the protection scenario to restrict the rapid expansion of construction land. In the natural development and economic priority scenarios, construction land expanded and encroached on cultivated land and forests. In contrast, in the ecological protection scenario, forests and water areas were well-preserved, and the decrease in cultivated land and the increase in construction land were effectively suppressed, resulting in a large improvement in land use sustainability. Finally, in the cultivated land protection scenario, the cultivated land showed an increasing trend. The spread and expansion of construction land were effectively curbed. In conclusion, the Markov-FLUS model applied in this study to simulate land use in multiple scenarios has substantial implications for the effective utilization of land resources and the protection of the ecological environment in Hubei Province.
Tárgyszavak:Társadalomtudományok Gazdálkodás- és szervezéstudományok idegen nyelvű folyóiratközlemény külföldi lapban
folyóiratcikk
land-use change
multiscenario simulation
Markov-FLUS model
regional sustainability
ecological protection
cultivated land protection
Megjelenés:Land. - 12 : 4 (2023), p. 1-27. -
További szerzők:Cheng, Yufeng Zang, Weiye Zhou, Quan El Archi, Youssef Mousazadeh, Hossein Kabil, Moaaz Vargáné Csobán Katalin (1975-) (angol nyelv és irodalom szakos tanár, közgazdász) Dávid Lóránt (1968-) (geográfus)
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DOI
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