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001-es BibID:	BIBFORM103468
035-os BibID:	(cikkazonosító)10653 (WOS)000851188400001 (Scopus)85137562006
Első szerző:	Harsányi Endre (agrármérnök)
Cím:	Predicting Modified Fournier Index by Using Artificial Neural Network in Central Europe / Endre Harsányi, Bashar Bashir, Firas Alsilibe, Muhammad Farhan Ul Moazzam, Tamás Ratonyi, Abdullah Alsalman, Adrienn Széles, Aniko Nyeki, István Takács, Safwan Mohammed
Dátum:	2022
ISSN:	1661-7827 1660-4601
Megjegyzések:	The Modified Fournier Index (MFI) is one of the indices that can assess the erosivity of rainfall. However, the implementation of the artificial neural network (ANN) for the prediction of the MFI is still rare. In this research, climate data (monthly and yearly precipitation (pi, Ptotal) (mm), daily maximum precipitation (Pd-max) (mm), monthly mean temperature (Tavg) ( C), daily maximum mean temperature (Td-max) ( C), and daily minimum mean temperature (Td-min) ( C)) were collected from three stations in Hungary (Budapest, Debrecen, and Pécs) between 1901 and 2020. The MFI was calculated, and then, the performance of two ANNs (multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF)) in predicting the MFI was evaluated under four scenarios. The average MFI values were between 66.30 15.40 (low erosivity) in Debrecen and 75.39 15.39 (low erosivity) in Pecs. The prediction of the MFI by using MLP was good (NSEBudapest(SC3) = 0.71, NSEPécs(SC2) = 0.69). Additionally, the performance of RBF was accurate (NSEDebrecen(SC4) = 0.68, NSEPécs(SC3) = 0.73). However, the correlation coefficient between the observed MFI and the predicted one ranged between 0.83 (Budapest (SC2-MLP)) and 0.86 (Pécs (SC3-RBF)). Interestingly, the statistical analyses promoted SC2 (Pd-max + pi + Ptotal) and SC4 (Ptotal + Tavg + Td-max + Td-min) as the best scenarios for predicting MFI by using the ANN?MLP and ANN?RBF, respectively. However, the sensitivity analysis highlighted that Ptotal, pi, and Td-min had the highest relative importance in the prediction process. The output of this research promoted the ANN (MLP and RBF) as an effective tool for predicting rainfall erosivity in Central Europe.
Tárgyszavak:	Társadalomtudományok Szociológiai tudományok idegen nyelvű folyóiratközlemény külföldi lapban folyóiratcikk land degradation machine learning climate change Hungary
Megjelenés:	International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. - 19 : 17 (2022), p. 1-19. -
További szerzők:	Bashir, Bashar Alsilibe, Firas Moazzam, Muhammad Farhan Ul Rátonyi Tamás (1967-) (agrármérnök) Alsalman, Abdullah Széles Adrienn (1980-) (okleveles agrármérnök) Nyéki Anikó (1989-) (agrármérnök) Takács István (1977-) (terület és településfejlesztési egyetemi szakközgazdász) Mohammed Safwan (1985-) (agrármérnök)
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001-es BibID:	BIBFORM097277
035-os BibID:	(cikkazonosító)1339
Első szerző:	Harsányi Endre (agrármérnök)
Cím:	Impact of Agricultural Drought on Sunflower Production across Hungary / Endre Harsányi, Bashar Bashir, Firas Alsilibe, Karam Alsafadi, Abdullah Alsalman, Adrienn Széles, Muhammad Habib ur Rahman, István Bácskai, Csaba Juhász, Tamás Ratonyi, Safwan Mohammed
Dátum:	2021
ISSN:	2073-4433 2073-4433
Megjegyzések:	In the last few decades, agricultural drought (Ag.D) has seriously affected crop production and food security worldwide. In Hungary, little research has been carried out to assess the impacts of climate change, particularly regarding droughts and crop production, and especially on regional scales. Thus, the main aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of agricultural drought on sunflower production across Hungary. Drought data for the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) were collected from the CAR BATCLIM database (1961?2010), whereas sunflower production was collected from the Hungarian national statistical center (KSH) on regional and national scales. To address the impact of Ag.D on sunflower production, the sequence of standardized yield residuals (SSYR) and yield losses YlossAD was applied. Additionally, sunflower resilience to Ag.D (SRAg.D) was assessed on a regional scale. The results showed that Ag.D is more severe in the western regions of Hungary, with a significantly positive trend. Interestingly, drought events were more frequent between 1990 and 2010. Moreover, the lowest SSYR values were reported as ?3.20 in the Hajdu-Bihar region (2010). In this sense, during the sunflower growing cycle, the relationship between SSYR and Ag.D revealed that the highest correlations were recorded in the central and western regions of Hungary. However, 75% of the regions showed that the plantation of sunflower is not resilient to drought where SRAg.Dx < 1. To cope with climate change in Hungary, an urgent mitigation plan should be implemented.
Tárgyszavak:	Agrártudományok Növénytermesztési és kertészeti tudományok idegen nyelvű folyóiratközlemény külföldi lapban folyóiratcikk
Megjelenés:	Atmosphere. - 12 : 10 (2021), p. 1-18. -
További szerzők:	Bashir, Bashar Alsilibe, Firas Alsafadi, Karam Alsalman, Abdullah Széles Adrienn (1980-) (okleveles agrármérnök) Rahman, Muhammad Habib ur Bacskai István Juhász Csaba (1962-) (környezetgazdálkodási agrármérnök) Rátonyi Tamás (1967-) (agrármérnök) Mohammed Safwan (1985-) (agrármérnök)
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001-es BibID:	BIBFORM101363
035-os BibID:	(cikkazonosító)106925 (WoS)000807778300003 (Scopus)85127809340
Első szerző:	Mohammed Safwan (agrármérnök)
Cím:	A comparative analysis of data mining techniques for agricultural and hydrological drought prediction in the eastern Mediterranean / Safwan Mohammed, Ahmed Elbeltagi, Bashar Bashir, Karam Alsafadi, Firas Alsilibe, Abdullah Alsalman, Mojtaba Zeraatpisheh, Adrienn Széles, Endre Harsányi
Dátum:	2022
ISSN:	0168-1699
Tárgyszavak:	Agrártudományok Növénytermesztési és kertészeti tudományok idegen nyelvű folyóiratközlemény külföldi lapban folyóiratcikk
Megjelenés:	Computers And Electronics In Agriculture. - 197 (2022), p. 1-19. -
További szerzők:	Elbeltagi, Ahmed Bashir, Bashar Alsafadi, Karam Alsilibe, Firas Alsalman, Abdullah Zeraatpisheh, Mojtaba Széles Adrienn (1980-) (okleveles agrármérnök) Harsányi Endre (1976-) (agrármérnök)
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